politico miscellania
The Washington Times is reporting that "Germany has indicated it would possibly send troops to Iraq if Democrat Sen. John Kerry is elected U.S. president, the Financial Times said Wednesday." This, of course, would seem the common sense things, given that so many of our once allies (replaced with the likes of Mongolia and Albania) have seemingly given up on us while Bush and Dick are in the White House, but it's worth posting for googlers.
The race for the Kentucky Senate seat has taken some really weird turns lately. Current Republican Senator Jim Bunning has been acting very strangely and otherwise making people believe he's suffering some form of dimensia. For instance, for his one debate he wouldn't allow it to be live, he wouldn't allow an audience, it had to be in the afternoon not evening, if his opponent used any footage from it he would be sued, and the strangest thing of all, just before it was to be taped, he ran off to Washington saying he had to be present for some votes (Congress is out of session) and taped his portion of the debate from the DNC headquarters, not allowing any KY press witness present to make sure he wasn't kidding. Head more about it all here.
Then there's Republican candidate for Senator from Oklahoma Tom Coburn who recently stated that "lesbianism is so rampant in some of the schools in southeast Oklahoma that they'll only let one girl go to the bathroom. Now think about it. Think about that issue. How is it that that's happened to us?" There's not much to say to that but WTF? Which seems to be the general response. Of course, he's said it was "all taken out of context", he was really trying to say something about the impact of adult material on children...which is almost another WTF sort of thing. But, oh well.
Since everybody else is going nuts, I figure I should too and make a couple of predicitions. First, Bush is going to screw up tonight at the debates and lose some footing in the polls. In a "complete coincidence" Osama Bin Laden will be captured or killed on Monday or Tuesday (not earlier as the news cycle winds down on Firday and Saturday). Okay, maybe not that so much (a little cynical facetiousness if you will), but it would freak me the hell out if it happened, you know? Anyway...
Looking at the polling data and watching how people are acting, I am going to go out on a real limb and predict right her and right now that Kerry is going to win the popular vote on November 2 by a margin of 4-6 points, possibly much more. The polls keep going back and forth, but for various reasons (not limited to stupid formulas that polling companies are using and a general "misunderestimating" of the likelihood of Democratic voters to get out in record numbers to vote against Bush) I think they're dead wrong. That could change though if Kerry screws up tonight, but I don't think he will.
The race for the Kentucky Senate seat has taken some really weird turns lately. Current Republican Senator Jim Bunning has been acting very strangely and otherwise making people believe he's suffering some form of dimensia. For instance, for his one debate he wouldn't allow it to be live, he wouldn't allow an audience, it had to be in the afternoon not evening, if his opponent used any footage from it he would be sued, and the strangest thing of all, just before it was to be taped, he ran off to Washington saying he had to be present for some votes (Congress is out of session) and taped his portion of the debate from the DNC headquarters, not allowing any KY press witness present to make sure he wasn't kidding. Head more about it all here.
Then there's Republican candidate for Senator from Oklahoma Tom Coburn who recently stated that "lesbianism is so rampant in some of the schools in southeast Oklahoma that they'll only let one girl go to the bathroom. Now think about it. Think about that issue. How is it that that's happened to us?" There's not much to say to that but WTF? Which seems to be the general response. Of course, he's said it was "all taken out of context", he was really trying to say something about the impact of adult material on children...which is almost another WTF sort of thing. But, oh well.
Since everybody else is going nuts, I figure I should too and make a couple of predicitions. First, Bush is going to screw up tonight at the debates and lose some footing in the polls. In a "complete coincidence" Osama Bin Laden will be captured or killed on Monday or Tuesday (not earlier as the news cycle winds down on Firday and Saturday). Okay, maybe not that so much (a little cynical facetiousness if you will), but it would freak me the hell out if it happened, you know? Anyway...
Looking at the polling data and watching how people are acting, I am going to go out on a real limb and predict right her and right now that Kerry is going to win the popular vote on November 2 by a margin of 4-6 points, possibly much more. The polls keep going back and forth, but for various reasons (not limited to stupid formulas that polling companies are using and a general "misunderestimating" of the likelihood of Democratic voters to get out in record numbers to vote against Bush) I think they're dead wrong. That could change though if Kerry screws up tonight, but I don't think he will.
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