zogby on the daily show

I'm watching the Daily Show right now and pollster John Zogby is on, and has told Jon Stewart that he believes John Kerry will win, for the reason that I have stated...that undecideds break for the non-incumbant and Bush isn't polling all that well for a sitting president.

I also find it interesting that the polls from 2000 showed Bush winning the popular vote by as much as 5% before Gore took the popular vote by 0.5% in the end. Again, an underestimation of Democrats showing up on election day (and we weren't quite so pissed off then...heck, I was a Nader voter).